Extrapolation from census data

ClusterSeer can extrapolate population-at-risk counts from census data. This feature can be used in Kulldorff's Scan, Rogerson's, and CuSum methods.

ClusterSeer offers two extrapolation methods, step and linear extrapolation.

interpolation.gif

Step

The population-at-risk count is assumed equal to the immediately preceding census count. It will change with the next provided census value.

Linear

The population-at-risk count is estimated assuming a linear change in population between the two nearest census figures. Population-at-risk values are estimated along the line connecting the two census values.

for both methods

Dates before the first census value will be set to the first value. Dates after the final census value will be set to the last value.

Census dates are specified using a yearly precision. The extrapolation will be estimated at the temporal scale used for the case data (daily, weekly, monthly, or yearly).

extrapolation scale

Date census count assumed valid
(in year collected)

daily

June 15th

weekly

26th week

monthly

June

See Also