Conferences
MTSA 2003 Conference
BioMedware held its second conference on Model Transition Sensitivity Analysis in July of 2003, the first was held in 2001. This conference consisted of expert presentations on disease modeling and a review of the MTSA software prototype.
Goals
Sample population sizes of compartments
and two-compartment model.
At this workshop participants will:
- learn about existing techniques for infection transmission modeling
- decide which model transitions to implement in the software
- discuss geographic specification and reporting of the models
By the end of this meeting:
- MTSA project staff will gain a clearer understanding of theory, methods, technology and applications of MTSA
Agenda (2003)
July 24, 2003 Expert presentations
Welcome and introductions (slides), Geoffrey Jacquez (GMJ)
Background of workshop (slides), GMJ
Theory and methods of model transition
Diffusion approximations as an intermediate between ODE models and stochastic Monte Carlo models: Implications for simulation efficiency and for parameter estimation (slides), Stephen Chick
An overview of a synthesis of the stochastic and deterministic paradigms via Monte Carlo simulation methods in modelling epidemics of infectious diseases (slides 1, 2, 3, 4), Charles Mode
Contact patterns and infection transmission systems
Contact patterns and their effect on the spread of epidemic disease, Mark Newman
Methods for the description of infection graphs using MTSA individual event history data, Chris Riolo
Modeling the effect of social organization on the geographic spread of infectious diseases: Modeling issues and data needs (slides), Lisa Sattenspiel
MIDAS and MTSA (slides), James Koopman
Building spatially distributed models using geostatistics: A review and potential applications to the prediction of spread of infectious diseases (slide), Pierre Goovaerts
A stochastic epidemic simulator for smallpox (abstract), Ira Longini
Applications and links to interventions
What should I do today: Setting priorities for STD control (slides), Thomas Peterman
July 25, 2003 MTSA software & brainstorming
Objectives and logistics, GMJ
A step by step demonstration of the MTSA prototype, GMJ & Andy Kaufmann
The state of current modeling software and a vision for the future, Heidi Durbeck
Organization of experts into groups of 3-4, GMJ
Groups use the prototype software and formulate lists of suggestions for software improvement
Groups present recommendations
Closing remarks, GMJ
Participants
Geoffrey Jacquez, Ph.D., Principal Investigator and President of BioMedware, Inc.
Gillian AvRuskin, M.S., BioMedware, Inc.
Stephen Chick, Ph.D., Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan; Associate Professor of Technology and Operations Management, INSEAD
Eve Do, BioMedware, Inc.
Heidi Durbeck, M.A. , BioMedware, Inc.
Pierre Goovaerts, Ph.D. , BioMedware, Inc.
Dunrie Greiling, Ph.D., BioMedware, Inc.
Laura Jacquez, BioMedware, Inc.
Nicholas Jacquez, MBA, President of TerraSeer, Inc.
Andy Kaufmann, M.S., BioMedware, Inc.
James Koopman, M.D., M.P.H. , Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan
Ira Longini, Ph.D. , Department of Biostatistics, Emory University
Charles Mode, Ph.D. , Department of Mathematics, Drexel University
Mark Newman, Ph.D. , Department of Physics, and The Center for the Study of Complex Systems, University of Michigan
Thomas Peterman, M.D., M.S. , Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
Chris Riolo, Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan
Bob Rommel, BioMedware, Inc.
Lisa Sattenspiel, Ph.D. , Department of Anthropology, University of Missouri