Conferences

MTSA 2001 Conference

BioMedware held its first conference on Model Transition Sensitivity Analysis in July of 2003, the second was held in 2001. This conference consisted of expert presentations on disease modeling and a review of the MTSA software prototype.

agenda, participants

Goals

At this workshop participants will:

learn about existing techniques for infection transmission modeling
learn about a new approach to infection transmission modeling (MTSA), and its advantages over existing approaches
learn about a project (in progress) to evaluate the feasibility of MTSA software
brainstorm on how MTSA might benefit their work
develop possible criteria for evaluating the feasibility of MTSA software

Results from a sensitivity
analysis of model type and
initial conditions on infectious
disease transmission.
Smooth lines show the
population of infected
individuals from the
deterministic model and
stepped lines show results
from stochastic simulations.
Note that in the
red stochastic simulation,
the infection died out
by chance.

By the end of this meeting:

MTSA project staff will gain a clearer understanding of how MTSA will benefit infection control and surveillance professionals
participants will have recommended criteria for demonstrating the feasibility of MSTA software
participants will have communicated to MTSA project staff how decision-making professionals might use the MTSA approach in their workplace.

Agenda

Agenda—April 17, 2001, Michigan League

Introduction to BioMedware, Inc. and SBIR projects, self-introduction by meeting participants, introduction to this project (proposal), and expectations for the meeting.

Current approaches to modeling complexity, and their problems. The MTSA approach with its 4 backbone transitions allows users to test the sensitivity of their analyses on model forms.

Software vision: diagram of MTSA software system, prototype scope, prototype demo.

Brainstorm

Participants

Geoffrey Jacquez, Ph.D., BioMedware, Inc. Principal Investigator.

Sven Brueckner, Ph.D., Environmental Research Institute of Michigan

Stephen Chick, Ph.D., Department of Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan

Eve Do, BioMedware, Inc.

Leah Estberg Ph.D., M.P.V.M., D.V.M., BioMedware, Inc.

Dunrie Greiling, Ph.D., BioMedware, Inc.

Andrew Kaufmann, M.S., BioMedware, Inc.

James Koopman, MD, M.P.H., Department of Epidemiology, University of Michigan

Thomas Peterman, M.D., M.S., Division of HIV/AIDS Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

Carl Simon, Ph.D, Departments of Mathematics, Economics, and Public Policy, University of Michigan

Michael Taaffe, Ph.D., Department of Operations and Management Science, University of Minnesota